Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 34

May 14, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
2 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Braut Haaland (68' pen.), Moukoko (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Belfodil (18' pen.)
Ascacibar (66'), Plattenhardt (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:

Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bayern Munich	34	60	77
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64

Hertha Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs

Next Game: Braunschweig vs. Hertha Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Stuttgart	34	-18	33
16	Hertha Berlin	34	-34	33
17	Arminia Bielefeld	34	-26	28

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Hertha Berlin

Dortmund may not be firing on all cylinders, and may well be without a number of first-team players on Saturday, but they should still manage to grind out a fairly comfortable victory. Haaland will be determined to finish the campaign by adding his name on the scoresheet, and it is likely that he will do so against a Hertha side that will probably have to rely on results elsewhere to confirm their survival on the final day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 3-1 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Hertha Berlin
61.54% ( 0)	19.32% ( -0)	19.15% ( -0)

Both teams to score 63.21% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.03% (

31.97% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.47% (

0.01)

53.53% (

-0.01)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.89% (

10.11% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.72% (

33.28% (

-0.01)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.32%

29.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.27% (

65.73% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 61.54%

Hertha Berlin 19.15%

Draw 19.32%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Hertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.44% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.54% 5-1 @ 1.92% 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.17% 4-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.56% Total : 61.54%	1-1 @ 8.35% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.35% Total : 19.32%	1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-2 @ 2.21% 1-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 3.81% Total : 19.15%