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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Hertha Berlin logo

Dortmund
2 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Braut Haaland (68' pen.), Moukoko (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Belfodil (18' pen.)
Ascacibar (66'), Plattenhardt (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Next Game: Braunschweig vs. Hertha Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Hertha Berlin

Dortmund may not be firing on all cylinders, and may well be without a number of first-team players on Saturday, but they should still manage to grind out a fairly comfortable victory. Haaland will be determined to finish the campaign by adding his name on the scoresheet, and it is likely that he will do so against a Hertha side that will probably have to rely on results elsewhere to confirm their survival on the final day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 3-1 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHertha Berlin
61.54% (0.0040000000000049 0) 19.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 19.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 63.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.47% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)53.53% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.89% (0.0010000000000048 0)10.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.72% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32%29.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 61.54%
    Hertha Berlin 19.15%
    Draw 19.32%
Borussia DortmundDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 6.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 4.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.54%
5-1 @ 1.92%
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.17%
4-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 61.54%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 19.32%
1-2 @ 5.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-2 @ 2.21%
1-3 @ 2.05%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 19.15%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Hertha Berlin

Borussia Dortmund
75.7%
Draw
10.0%
Hertha Berlin
14.3%
70
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-2
Dortmund
Belfodil (51'), Richter (57', 69')
Brandt (31'), Tigges (83')
Pongracic (90+5')
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Nov 21, 2020 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-5
Dortmund
Cunha (33', 79' pen.)
Cunha (61')
Braut Haaland (47', 49', 62', 79'), Guerreiro (70')
Guerreiro (10')
Jun 6, 2020 5.30pm
Nov 30, 2019 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Dortmund
Darida (34')
Grujic (5'), Darida (18'), Ibisevic (83')
Sancho (15'), Hazard (17')
Hummels (19')
Hummels (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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