Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.