DFB-Pokal | First Round
Jul 31, 2022 at 5.01pm UK
Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion
Erzgebirge Aue0 - 3Mainz 05
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Last Game: Mainz 05 1-0 Newcastle
Monday, July 18 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Monday, July 18 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Erzgebirge Aue 0-2 Mainz 05
Though they lack match sharpness this early in the season, Mainz should have more than enough firepower to take care of business on Sunday. After tumbling the relegation trapdoor in May, their beleaguered hosts may take more time to recover. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erzgebirge Aue win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | Mainz 05 |
39.37% ( 0.03) | 24.16% ( -0) | 36.47% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.81% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.31% ( 0.01) | 41.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.91% ( 0.01) | 64.09% ( -0.01) |
| Erzgebirge Aue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% ( 0.02) | 21.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.78% ( 0.03) | 54.22% ( -0.03) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( -0) | 22.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.58% ( -0.01) | 56.42% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Erzgebirge Aue 39.37%
Mainz 05 36.47%
Draw 24.16%
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 39.37% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.47% |
How you voted: Erzgebirge Aue vs Mainz 05
Erzgebirge Aue
9.1%Draw
0.0%Mainz 05
90.9%11
Head to Head
Form Guide
