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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 7, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Mainz logo

Hertha Berlin
1 - 2
Mainz 05

Selke (45+5' pen.)
Dardai (56'), Darida (80'), Ascacibar (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Widmer (25'), Bell (81')
Svensson (45+4'), Caricol (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Next Game: Braunschweig vs. Hertha Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Mainz 05

Although Mainz put in a hugely impressive performance to defeat the champions last weekend, on their travels they are a completely different outfit to face. In fact, the visitors have the second-worst away record in the division, and with the home side in fine form during their revival at the bottom, we can see Hertha nicking the all important win to confirm their survival.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Hertha Berlin has a probability of 33.25% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline is Hertha Berlin 1-1 Mainz 05 with a probability of 11.36% and the second most likely scoreline is Hertha Berlin 1-2 Mainz 05 with a probability of 8.94%.

Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Mainz 05 in this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawMainz 05
33.25%24.44%42.31%
Both teams to score 59.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34%43.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95%66.05%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54%25.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71%60.29%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25%20.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62%53.38%
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 33.25%
    Mainz 05 42.31%
    Draw 24.43%
Hertha BerlinDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 7.78%
1-0 @ 7.23%
2-0 @ 4.94%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 33.25%
1-1 @ 11.36%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 8.94%
0-1 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 6.53%
1-3 @ 4.69%
0-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 3.21%
1-4 @ 1.84%
0-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 42.31%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Mainz 05

Hertha Berlin
57.9%
Draw
28.1%
Mainz 05
14.0%
57
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Mainz 05
4-0
Hertha Berlin
Jae-sung (19'), Hack (41'), Widmer (49'), Boetius (79')

Serdar (36'), Stark (59')
May 3, 2021 5pm
Mainz 05
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Mwene (40')
Bell (18'), Barreiro (72')
Tousart (36')
Tousart (39'), Cunha (67'), Ascacibar (74')
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
Feb 8, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-3
Mainz 05
Boyata (84')
Ascacibar (36'), Wolf (70'), Boyata (92')
Wolf (89')
Quaison (17', 82', 94')
Latza (69')
Sep 14, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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