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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 11, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Mainz logo

Havelse
1 - 5
Mainz 05

Plume (17')
Plume (1'), Folster (2'), Sonnenberg (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mateta (57', 79', 90+1'), Szalai (77'), Quaison (86')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Havelse and Mainz 05.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Havelse had a probability of 19.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 0-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Havelse win it was 2-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
HavelseDrawMainz 05
19.83%19.89%60.28%
Both teams to score 62.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.32%33.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.49%55.51%
Havelse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94%30.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81%66.19%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.07%10.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.86%35.14%
Score Analysis
    Havelse 19.83%
    Mainz 05 60.28%
    Draw 19.89%
HavelseDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 5.26%
1-0 @ 3.95%
2-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.33%
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 19.83%
1-1 @ 8.75%
2-2 @ 5.82%
0-0 @ 3.29%
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 19.89%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-2 @ 8.05%
0-1 @ 7.28%
1-3 @ 7.14%
0-3 @ 5.94%
2-3 @ 4.29%
1-4 @ 3.95%
0-4 @ 3.29%
2-4 @ 2.37%
1-5 @ 1.75%
0-5 @ 1.46%
2-5 @ 1.05%
3-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 60.28%

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