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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
Jun 20, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Opel Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Mainz 05
3 - 1
Werder Bremen

Quaison (25'), Boetius (30'), Fernandes (85')
Quaison (40'), Boetius (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Osako (58')
Veljkovic (22'), Friedl (35'), Augustinsson (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawWerder Bremen
42.14%24.93%32.94%
Both teams to score 57.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.01%46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.7%68.3%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18%21.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.96%55.04%
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23%26.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95%62.05%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 42.14%
    Werder Bremen 32.94%
    Draw 24.93%
Mainz 05DrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.92%
1-0 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 4.53%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 42.14%
1-1 @ 11.72%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 7.72%
0-1 @ 7.7%
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 3.39%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.94%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Werder Bremen
0-5
Mainz

Eggestein (77'), Bittencourt (79')
Quaison (10', 19', 38'), Pavlenka (15' og.), Mateta (81')
Fernandes (18'), Baku (79')
Mar 30, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Werder Bremen
3-1
Mainz
Rashica (3'), Kruse (36', 63')
Quaison (52')
Boetius (77')
Nov 4, 2018 5pm
Gameweek 10
Mainz
2-1
Werder Bremen
Mateta (25'), Gbamin (51')
Pizarro (78')
Bargfrede (64'), Moisander (79')
May 12, 2018 2.30pm
Dec 16, 2017 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
2-2
Mainz
Bargfrede (2'), Belfodil (17')
Bargfrede (39'), Gebre Selassie (51')
Quaison (70'), Frei (90')
Latza (49'), Berggreen (59'), Maxim (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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