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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Werder Bremen |
42.14% | 24.93% | 32.94% |
Both teams to score 57.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.01% | 46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.7% | 68.3% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.18% | 21.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.96% | 55.04% |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.23% | 26.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.95% | 62.05% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 8.92% 1-0 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.45% Total : 42.14% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-1 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 20 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
6 | Freiburg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
7 | Stuttgart | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 15 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
14 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Heidenheim | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 2 |
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