Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

Jun 20, 2020 at 2.30pm UK

Opel Arena

Mainz 05
3 - 1
Werder Bremen

Quaison (25'), Boetius (30'), Fernandes (85')
Quaison (40'), Boetius (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Osako (58')
Veljkovic (22'), Friedl (35'), Augustinsson (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Werder Bremen
42.14%	24.93%	32.94%

Both teams to score 57.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.01%

46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.7%

68.3%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.18%

21.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.96%

55.04%

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23%

26.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.95%

62.05%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 42.14%

Werder Bremen 32.94%

Draw 24.93%

Mainz 05	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.92% 1-0 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.45% Total : 42.14%	1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93%	1-2 @ 7.72% 0-1 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.94%