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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
May 30, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Opel Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Mainz 05
0 - 1
Hoffenheim


Baku (14'), Bruma (19'), Boetius (43'), Barreiro (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bebou (43')
Bogarde (12'), Samassekou (18'), Rudy (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Hoffenheim, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 37.94% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawHoffenheim
37.94%24.03%38.03%
Both teams to score 61.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59%40.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.61%63.39%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31%21.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.17%54.82%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36%21.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24%54.75%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 37.94%
    Hoffenheim 38.03%
    Draw 24.02%
Mainz 05DrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.39%
1-0 @ 7.17%
2-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.94%
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 6.42%
0-0 @ 4.69%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.02%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-1 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 5.5%
1-3 @ 4.29%
2-3 @ 3.28%
0-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 38.03%

Head to Head
Nov 24, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 12
Hoffenheim
1-5
Mainz
Kramaric (83')
Akpoguma (28')
Oztunali (33'), Kaderabek (52' og.), Kunde (62', 93'), Boetius (90')
Onisiwo (10'), Kunde (71'), St Juste (81')
Baku (45')
May 18, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Mainz
4-2
Hoffenheim
Brosinski (66' pen.), Boetius (83', 90'), Mateta (90')
Kunde (33'), Boetius (90')
Belfodil (12'), Kramaric (34')
Baumgartner (18'), Joelinton (23'), Vogt (58')
Baumgartner (41')
Dec 23, 2018 5pm
Gameweek 17
Hoffenheim
1-1
Mainz
Demirbay (11')
Zuber (69')
Mateta (16')
Feb 10, 2018 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
4-2
Mainz
Szalai (27', 74'), Kramaric (67', 88')
Schulz (31'), Geiger (63'), Szalai (74'), Uth (81')
Berggreen (28', 80')
Hack (8'), Diallo (66'), Balogun (87')
Sep 20, 2017 7.30pm
Mainz
2-3
Hoffenheim
Latza (5'), Muto (16')
Latza (25'), de Blasis (84'), Samperio (85')
Amiri (23'), Wagner (45'), Uth (90')
Vogt (22'), Demirbay (59'), Geiger (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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