MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:00:58| >> :60:148:148:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 1, 2022 at 7.46pm UK
MDCC-Arena
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

Magdeburg
0 - 4
Frankfurt


Sechelmann (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kamada (4', 59'), Lindstrom (31'), Alario (90')
Jakic (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's DFB-Pokal clash between Magdeburg and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Magdeburg 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt

We expect to see an open, entertaining cup tie at the MDCC-Arena on Monday. Madgeburg should benefit from having played two competitive matches compared to Frankfurt whose season starts here, but the Europa League winners should have too much quality if they can ride out the hosts' early storm. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 54.12%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 2-1 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
MagdeburgDrawEintracht Frankfurt
22.97% (0.931 0.93) 22.9% (0.219 0.22) 54.12% (-1.148 -1.15)
Both teams to score 56.29% (0.501 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.083999999999996 0.08)43.71% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.080999999999996 0.08)66.1% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Magdeburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (0.887 0.89)32.91% (-0.886 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.976 0.98)69.49% (-0.97500000000001 -0.98)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (-0.366 -0.37)16.08% (0.366 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.52% (-0.674 -0.67)45.48% (0.675 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Magdeburg 22.97%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 54.12%
    Draw 22.9%
MagdeburgDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 5.97% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 5.88% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 3.27% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.21% (0.122 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 22.97%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.107 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 9.82% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 9.67% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-2 @ 8.84% (-0.256 -0.26)
1-3 @ 5.98% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 5.38% (-0.225 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.73% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.46% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 54.12%

How you voted: Magdeburg vs Frankfurt

Magdeburg
5.7%
Draw
5.7%
Eintracht Frankfurt
88.6%
35
rhs 2.0
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