DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 7, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Donaustadion
Ulm0 - 1Nuremberg
Stoll (69'), Ruhle (83'), Reichert (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between SSV Ulm and Nuremberg.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest SSV Ulm win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SSV Ulm | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 32.57% | 23.67% | 43.75% |
| Both teams to score 61.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
