Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
