Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.