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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Cambuur win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Cambuur |
57.83% ( 1.27) | 22.29% ( 0.42) | 19.88% ( -1.69) |
Both teams to score 53.79% ( -4.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.13% ( -4.15) | 44.87% ( 4.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.77% ( -4.13) | 67.23% ( 4.13) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.76% ( -1) | 15.24% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.09% ( -1.91) | 43.91% ( 1.91) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.46% ( -4.02) | 36.54% ( 4.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.67% ( -4.28) | 73.32% ( 4.28) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Cambuur |
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 1.44) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 1.06) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.47) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.28) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 57.82% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.94) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.56) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.4) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
4 | FC Twente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
7 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 |
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