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Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Cambuur

Sparta
4 - 1
Cambuur

Saito (30'), Pinto (38'), Kitolano (42'), Namli (50')
Pinto (62')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Tol (9')
Bergsma (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 2-1 Sparta
Saturday, May 13 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 2-0 Cambuur
Sunday, May 14 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 3-0 Cambuur

Sparta have struggled in recent matches but have a massive opportunity to return to winning ways on Sunday against a Cambuur side who are enduring a terrible losing run. Cambuur's season is effectively over, and we cannot see them causing a shock in Rotterdam on Sunday - or even scoring a goal for that matter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Cambuur win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawCambuur
57.83% (1.268 1.27) 22.29% (0.42 0.42) 19.88% (-1.688 -1.69)
Both teams to score 53.79% (-4.08 -4.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.13% (-4.153 -4.15)44.87% (4.153 4.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.77% (-4.125 -4.13)67.23% (4.126 4.13)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.76% (-0.996 -1)15.24% (0.997 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.09% (-1.907 -1.91)43.91% (1.907 1.91)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46% (-4.022 -4.02)36.54% (4.022 4.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.67% (-4.28 -4.28)73.32% (4.279 4.28)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 57.82%
    Cambuur 19.88%
    Draw 22.29%
Sparta RotterdamDrawCambuur
1-0 @ 10.47% (1.444 1.44)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.85% (1.058 1.06)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.465 0.47)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.474 -0.47)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.202 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.91% (0.122 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.284 -0.28)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.09% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 57.82%
1-1 @ 10.54% (0.4 0.4)
0-0 @ 5.57% (0.937 0.94)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.556 -0.56)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.299 -0.3)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.61% (0.403 0.4)
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.386 -0.39)
0-2 @ 2.82% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.351 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.403 -0.4)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 19.88%

How you voted: Sparta vs Cambuur

Sparta Rotterdam
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Cambuur
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 7pm
gameweek 17
Cambuur
0-3
Sparta

Schmidt (53')
Lauritsen (9'), Saito (18'), Van Crooij (51' pen.)
Jan 16, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 17
Cambuur
1-1
Sparta
Coremans (33' og.)
Bangura (81')
Dalmau (77')
Beugelsdijk (65')
Sep 26, 2021 11.15am
gameweek 6
Sparta
0-4
Cambuur

Okoye (87')
Meijers (88')
Bangura (36'), Kallon (63', 74'), Boere (90+4')
Bangura (59'), Mac-Intosch (73'), Breij (87')
Jan 13, 2019 1.30pm
gameweek 20
Cambuur
3-3
Sparta
Steenvoorden (22'), Robertha (31'), Jansen (78')
Rayhi (10'), Veldwijk (45'), Duarte (88')
Breinburg (62')
Oct 14, 2018 1.30pm
gameweek 9
Sparta
3-0
Cambuur
Sambissa (7' og.), Veldwijk (40' pen.), Rayhi (76')
El Kachati (67')

Boerlage (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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