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Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Cambuur

Sparta
4 - 1
Cambuur

Saito (30'), Pinto (38'), Kitolano (42'), Namli (50')
Pinto (62')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Tol (9')
Bergsma (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 2-1 Sparta
Saturday, May 13 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 2-0 Cambuur
Sunday, May 14 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 3-0 Cambuur

Sparta have struggled in recent matches but have a massive opportunity to return to winning ways on Sunday against a Cambuur side who are enduring a terrible losing run. Cambuur's season is effectively over, and we cannot see them causing a shock in Rotterdam on Sunday - or even scoring a goal for that matter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Cambuur win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawCambuur
57.83% (1.268 1.27) 22.29% (0.42 0.42) 19.88% (-1.688 -1.69)
Both teams to score 53.79% (-4.08 -4.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.13% (-4.153 -4.15)44.87% (4.153 4.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.77% (-4.125 -4.13)67.23% (4.126 4.13)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.76% (-0.996 -1)15.24% (0.997 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.09% (-1.907 -1.91)43.91% (1.907 1.91)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46% (-4.022 -4.02)36.54% (4.022 4.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.67% (-4.28 -4.28)73.32% (4.279 4.28)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 57.82%
    Cambuur 19.88%
    Draw 22.29%
Sparta RotterdamDrawCambuur
1-0 @ 10.47% (1.444 1.44)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.85% (1.058 1.06)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.465 0.47)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.474 -0.47)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.202 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.91% (0.122 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.284 -0.28)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.09% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 57.82%
1-1 @ 10.54% (0.4 0.4)
0-0 @ 5.57% (0.937 0.94)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.556 -0.56)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.299 -0.3)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.61% (0.403 0.4)
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.386 -0.39)
0-2 @ 2.82% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.351 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.403 -0.4)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 19.88%

How you voted: Sparta vs Cambuur

Sparta Rotterdam
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Cambuur
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 7pm
gameweek 17
Cambuur
0-3
Sparta

Schmidt (53')
Lauritsen (9'), Saito (18'), Van Crooij (51' pen.)
Jan 16, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 17
Cambuur
1-1
Sparta
Coremans (33' og.)
Bangura (81')
Dalmau (77')
Beugelsdijk (65')
Sep 26, 2021 11.15am
gameweek 6
Sparta
0-4
Cambuur

Okoye (87')
Meijers (88')
Bangura (36'), Kallon (63', 74'), Boere (90+4')
Bangura (59'), Mac-Intosch (73'), Breij (87')
Jan 13, 2019 1.30pm
gameweek 20
Cambuur
3-3
Sparta
Steenvoorden (22'), Robertha (31'), Jansen (78')
Rayhi (10'), Veldwijk (45'), Duarte (88')
Breinburg (62')
Oct 14, 2018 1.30pm
gameweek 9
Sparta
3-0
Cambuur
Sambissa (7' og.), Veldwijk (40' pen.), Rayhi (76')
El Kachati (67')

Boerlage (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002542121
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
4FC Twente6321125711
5Feyenoord6240126610
6Sparta RotterdamSparta724187110
7Groningen623110739
8Heracles723269-39
9Willem II722310918
10Ajax42118357
11NECNijmegen721478-17
12Go Ahead Eagles621359-47
13Fortuna SittardSittard7214713-67
14Heerenveen7214916-77
15NAC BredaNAC Breda6204513-86
16PEC Zwolle6114610-44
17Almere CityAlmere City6024217-152
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk6006317-140


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