MX23RW : Saturday, April 26 00:49:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Vijverberg

De Graafschap
3 - 0
Jong Ajax

Benschop (26', 83'), Haen (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gooijer (36')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MVV 2-2 De Graafschap
Friday, January 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-1 FC Eindhoven
Friday, January 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De GraafschapDrawJong Ajax
50.47% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 22.7% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 26.83% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 61.26% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.94% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)39.06% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.62% (-0.058 -0.06)61.38% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.32% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)15.68% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.26% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)44.74% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (-0.050999999999988 -0.05)27.34% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)62.79% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 50.47%
    Jong Ajax 26.83%
    Draw 22.7%
De GraafschapDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.36% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.89%
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 50.47%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0039999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 26.83%

How you voted: De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax

De Graafschap
Draw
Jong Ajax
De Graafschap
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Jong Ajax
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2022 7pm
Jong Ajax
5-1
De Graafschap
Hansen (9', 44'), Misehouy (70'), Rasmussen (73'), Lucca (80')
Warmerdam (3')
Neghli (42')
Schenk (23')
May 6, 2022 7pm
Nov 26, 2021 7pm
De Graafschap
1-3
Jong Ajax
Konings (43')
Fortes (48'), Brittijn (53')
Unuvar (24'), Rasmussen (88'), Martha (90+1')
May 7, 2021 7pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
De Graafschap
Taylor (23')
Mendez (90+11')
Van Huizen (64')
van Huizen (90+1')
Dec 11, 2020 8pm
De Graafschap
2-2
Jong Ajax
Douglas (12' og.), Seuntjens (27')
van Huizen (87'), van Mieghem (90')
Verbeek (31')
Martha (16'), Hansen (57')
Hlynsson (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam35244780404076
2SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior35208766363068
3ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag361910759411867
4Dordrecht36198965442165
5Cambuur362051158391965
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap351781066452159
7TelstarTelstar3616101065452058
8EmmenEmmen35165145447753
9Den BoschDen Bosch35149125145651
10Roda JC361310134753-649
11Helmond SportHelmond351210135255-346
12Jong AZJong AZ35129146360345
13FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven35129145360-745
14VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo35108173859-2138
15MVV MaastrichtMVV36910175158-737
16TOP OssOss36812162959-3036
17Jong AjaxJong Ajax3588193651-1532
18Jong PSVJong PSV3576225278-2627
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht35311212776-4920
20Vitesse361010164970-211


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!