Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 52.5%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.77%) and 0-1 (6.66%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
