Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Noordwijk had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Noordwijk win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.