Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 69.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Volendam in this match.