Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and NAC Breda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, March 1 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, March 1 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
42
Last Game: NAC Breda 3-1 Jong Utrecht
Friday, March 1 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, March 1 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
50
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.37%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | NAC Breda |
35.19% ( -0.66) | 22.94% ( 0.09) | 41.87% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 65.2% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.11% ( -0.59) | 35.89% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.02% ( -0.65) | 57.97% ( 0.65) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( -0.59) | 20.76% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.6% ( -0.94) | 53.4% ( 0.94) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( -0.01) | 17.72% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.62% ( -0.01) | 48.38% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Jong Ajax 35.19%
NAC Breda 41.87%
Draw 22.93%
| Jong Ajax | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.19% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)Other @ 4% Total : 41.87% |
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2023 7pm
Sep 12, 2022 7pm
Apr 1, 2022 7pm
Form Guide
