Jong AZ

2 - 3

NAC Breda

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.