Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and NAC Breda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oss 1-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Willem II | 6 | 1 | 9 |
9 | Jong Ajax | 6 | 3 | 8 |
10 | MVV Maastricht | 6 | -3 | 8 |
Last Game: De Graafschap 1-1 NAC Breda
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Roda JC | 6 | 4 | 11 |
7 | NAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 11 |
8 | Willem II | 6 | 1 | 9 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.85%) and 3-1 (6.79%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Jong Ajax | Draw | NAC Breda |
55.92% ( 0.24) | 20.45% ( 0.07) | 23.62% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 66.04% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.7% ( -0.73) | 31.3% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.26% ( -0.86) | 52.74% ( 0.87) |
Jong Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.65% ( -0.16) | 11.34% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.96% ( -0.37) | 36.04% ( 0.37) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.49% ( -0.64) | 25.5% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.65% ( -0.88) | 60.35% ( 0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Jong Ajax 55.92%
NAC Breda 23.62%
Draw 20.45%
Jong Ajax | Draw | NAC Breda |
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.05% Total : 55.92% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.45% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.36% Total : 23.62% |
How you voted: Jong Ajax vs NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
80.0%Draw
20.0%NAC Breda
0.0%10
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2022 7pm
Apr 2, 2021 7pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
NAC Breda
Mendez (68')
Douglas (71')
Douglas (90+1')
Douglas (71')
Douglas (90+1')
El Allouchi (55' pen.)
Bilate (57')
Bilate (57')
Oct 2, 2020 8pm
NAC Breda
4-0
Jong Ajax
Douglas (8'), Brobbey (53')
Feb 17, 2020 7pm
Jong Ajax
2-4
NAC Breda
Stokkers (40'), El Allouchi (63', 90'), Van der Gaag (71')
Riera (30'), Azzagari (34'), Paul van Hecke (54'), Haye (78')
Riera (30'), Azzagari (34'), Paul van Hecke (54'), Haye (78')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-10 20:29:25
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 25 | 19 | 40 |
2 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
3 | Dordrecht | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 36 |
4 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 33 |
5 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 32 |
6 | Cambuur | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 32 |
7 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 32 |
8 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Helmond SportHelmond | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 31 |
10 | Roda JC | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 30 |
11 | TelstarTelstar | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 26 |
12 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 26 |
13 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 23 |
14 | Jong AZJong AZ | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 22 |
15 | TOP OssOss | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 33 | -17 | 22 |
16 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 21 |
18 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 16 |
19 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 13 |
20 | Vitesse | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 45 | -17 | -8 |
> Eerste Divisie Full Table |
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