Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 57.02%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 22.64% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.14%) and 3-1 (6.89%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.