Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 38.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.68%) and 2-0 (4.89%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
