Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Jong AZ.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
Last Game: Almere City 0-3 Jong AZ
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | TOP Oss | 37 | -13 | 41 |
| 15 | Jong AZ | 37 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Jong FC Utrecht | 37 | -23 | 38 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 62.87% | 19.82% | 17.31% |
| Both teams to score 57.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
