Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Helmond Sport.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
Last Game: Helmond 1-1 Den Bosch
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | MVV Maastricht | 37 | -33 | 37 |
| 19 | Telstar | 37 | -26 | 35 |
| 20 | Helmond Sport | 37 | -33 | 27 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 71.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 71.63% | 16.84% | 11.52% |
| Both teams to score 52.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
