Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and SBV Excelsior.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oss 0-1 MVV
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 37 | -24 | 38 |
| 18 | MVV Maastricht | 37 | -33 | 37 |
| 19 | Telstar | 37 | -26 | 35 |
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 57.88%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 21.37% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 21.37% | 20.75% | 57.88% |
| Both teams to score 61.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
