Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and SBV Excelsior.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oss 0-1 MVV
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 37 | -24 | 38 |
| 18 | MVV Maastricht | 37 | -33 | 37 |
| 19 | Telstar | 37 | -26 | 35 |
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 57.88%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 21.37% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 21.37% | 20.75% | 57.88% |
| Both teams to score 61.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.36% | 35.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.3% | 57.7% |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% | 29.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.12% | 65.88% |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.81% | 12.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.16% | 37.84% |
| Score Analysis |
MVV Maastricht 21.37%
SBV Excelsior 57.88%
Draw 20.75%
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 5.6% 1-0 @ 4.4% 2-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.38% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.99% Total : 21.37% | 1-1 @ 9.26% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 3.63% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.75% | 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-2 @ 8.05% 0-1 @ 7.64% 1-3 @ 6.83% 0-3 @ 5.64% 2-3 @ 4.14% 1-4 @ 3.6% 0-4 @ 2.97% 2-4 @ 2.18% 1-5 @ 1.51% 0-5 @ 1.25% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.42% Total : 57.88% |
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2021 7pm
Feb 20, 2021 3.30pm
MVV
1-0
SBV Excelsior
Dianessy (88')
Oct 16, 2020 8pm
Mar 6, 2020 7pm
Oct 18, 2019 7pm
Form Guide
