Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
