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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 18, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Elland Road
Arsenal logo

Leeds
1 - 4
Arsenal

Raphinha (75' pen.)
Gelhardt (53'), Dallas (56'), Koch (88')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Martinelli (16', 28'), Saka (42'), Smith Rowe (84')
Xhaka (86')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Arsenal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League meeting with Leeds United.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Leeds United on Saturday.

We said: Leeds United 1-1 Arsenal

The formbook points firmly to an Arsenal win in this match, but it may not be that straightforward with Leeds having only lost twice at home this season and Arsenal having only won twice on the road. Bielsa will also be demanding a response to Tuesday's mauling at Man City, so we are backing the hosts to get something out of this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawArsenal
41.32%24.87%33.82%
Both teams to score 57.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53%45.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.2%67.81%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02%21.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71%55.29%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02%25.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39%61.01%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 41.32%
    Arsenal 33.82%
    Draw 24.86%
Leeds UnitedDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 8.83%
1-0 @ 8.65%
2-0 @ 6.55%
3-1 @ 4.46%
3-0 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 41.32%
1-1 @ 11.66%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-1 @ 7.7%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 3.53%
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.82%

How you voted: Leeds vs Arsenal

Leeds United
14.4%
Draw
14.4%
Arsenal
71.3%
327
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Last 16
Arsenal
2-0
Leeds
Chambers (55'), Nketiah (69')
Soares (59')

Roberts (23')
Feb 14, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Arsenal
4-2
Leeds
Aubameyang (13', 41' pen., 47'), Bellerin (45')
Struijk (58'), Costa (69')
Struijk (70'), Dallas (90+6')
Nov 22, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 9
Leeds
0-0
Arsenal
Dallas (15'), Cooper (86'), Phillips (90+3')
Pepe (52')
Jan 6, 2020 7.56pm
Apr 16, 2004 3pm
Arsenal
5-0
Leeds
Pires (6'), Henry (27', 50', 67', 33' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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