Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.