MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 10:07:10| >> :120:3719:3719:
Barrow
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Derby logo

Barrow
0 - 0
Derby

FT

Chirewa (13'), Mendez-Laing (70')
Barrow win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Barrow and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Derby
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Barrow 1-2 Derby County

While the hosts will be full of confidence after a 4-0 win in their last game, but the visitors boast more quality throughout their squad and should secure a victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawDerby County
34.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 26.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 39.07% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)51.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (0.004999999999999 0)73.73% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (0.01400000000001 0.01)28.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (0.018999999999998 0.02)64.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.04% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)61.08% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 34.53%
    Derby County 39.07%
    Draw 26.39%
BarrowDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.53%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 39.07%

How you voted: Barrow vs Derby

Barrow
30.2%
Draw
6.3%
Derby County
63.5%
63
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2020 12pm
First Round
Derby
0-0
Barrow
(Aggregate 0-0 | Derby win 3-2 on penalties)
Brown (44'), Jones (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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