MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:10:30| >> :60:327:327:
Derby logo
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Real Valladolid logo

Derby
2 - 1
Valladolid

Ozoh (60'), Wilson (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moro (36')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Derby County and Real Valladolid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Barnsley 4-3 Derby
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Valladolid 1-1 Burgos (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, July 27 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawReal Valladolid
39.88% (-1.605 -1.61) 26.1% (0.406 0.41) 34.02% (1.197 1.2)
Both teams to score 53.6% (-1.021 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.15% (-1.46 -1.46)50.85% (1.457 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.26% (-1.301 -1.3)72.73% (1.297 1.3)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (-1.477 -1.48)25.08% (1.474 1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.22% (-2.087 -2.09)59.77% (2.084 2.08)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54% (0.044000000000011 0.04)28.46% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.78% (0.057000000000002 0.06)64.22% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 39.88%
    Real Valladolid 34.02%
    Draw 26.09%
Derby CountyDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.158 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 39.88%
1-1 @ 12.4% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 7.14% (0.409 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.525 0.53)
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.336 0.34)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.144 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 34.02%

rhs 2.0
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