EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Barrow3 - 2Port Vale
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Barrow and Port Vale.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Crewe
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Port Vale
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Port Vale |
42.69% ( 0.01) | 27.96% ( -0) | 29.35% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 46.36% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.69% ( 0.01) | 59.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.29% ( 0.01) | 79.71% ( -0.01) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( 0.01) | 27.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.01% ( 0.01) | 62.99% ( -0.01) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.93% | 36.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.15% ( 0) | 72.85% |
| Score Analysis |
Barrow 42.69%
Port Vale 29.35%
Draw 27.95%
| Barrow | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 12.8% 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 42.69% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.92% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.95% Total : 29.35% |
Head to Head
