Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leeds 0-3 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, August 14 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Wednesday, August 14 at 8pm in EFL Cup
We said: Derby County 1-3 Middlesbrough
Derby were defensively naive during their opening match against Blackburn last Friday, and such a display once again will lead to the same result. Middlesbrough have arguably been the standout performer in the EFL so far this season, and Carrick's troops should have enough firepower to record maximum points in the Midlands on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Middlesbrough |
43.05% ( -2.21) | 25.32% ( -0.18) | 31.63% ( 2.39) |
| Both teams to score 55.42% ( 1.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
