We said: Crystal Palace 2-0 Norwich City
Both sides might be more concerned with their league form than progressing in the EFL Cup, but Crystal Palace generally produce their best stuff on home turf, and they should go through.
Norwich City have been leaking goals at a rate of two per game this season, so the Eagles are set to pick them apart on Tuesday evening.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.