Norwich

1 - 3

St Pauli

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.