EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Luton3 - 2Gillingham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 Luton
Friday, August 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Friday, August 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Gillingham 0-3 Colchester
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Luton Town 3-1 Gillingham
While their start to life in the top flight has been far from ideal, Luton will back themselves to get the better of lower league opposition here. We fully expect the hosts to cruise to a routine win come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 59.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Gillingham |
59.61% ( -0.02) | 24.22% ( 0) | 16.17% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.65% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
