EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Gillingham3 - 1Southampton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stockport 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-2 Southampton
Friday, August 4 at 8pm in Championship
Friday, August 4 at 8pm in Championship
We said: Gillingham 0-2 Southampton
Southampton's strength in depth is very impressive, and head coach Martin will still be able to name a strong XI even if he makes wholesale changes from the clash with Sheffield Wednesday. Gillingham boss Evans will also rest some important players, so we are expecting this to be a comfortable game for the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 15.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Southampton |
15.61% ( -0.01) | 20.53% ( -0.01) | 63.87% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.16% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
