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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Colchester United |
33.82% ( -0.01) | 28.74% ( 0) | 37.43% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 45.49% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.97% ( -0.01) | 61.03% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.98% ( -0.01) | 81.02% ( 0) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.27% ( -0.01) | 33.72% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.62% ( -0.01) | 70.38% ( 0.01) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.63% ( -0) | 31.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.27% | 67.73% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.81% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 12.26% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 31 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 29 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |