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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Luton Town

Brighton
4 - 1
Luton

March (36'), Pedro (71' pen.), Adingra (85'), Ferguson (90+5')
Estupinan (7'), Mitoma (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Morris (81' pen.)
Andersen (51'), Kabore (59')

The Match

Match Report

Solly March, Joao Pedro, Simon Adingra and Evan Ferguson score the goals as Brighton & Hove Albion record a 4-1 win over Luton Town in their Premier League opener at the Amex.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-1 Luton
Saturday, August 5 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLuton Town
50.98% (-1.138 -1.14) 24.49% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 24.53% (1.169 1.17)
Both teams to score 52.93% (1.378 1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.98% (1.196 1.2)49.02% (-1.196 -1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.9% (1.07 1.07)71.1% (-1.071 -1.07)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77% (0.01100000000001 0.01)19.23% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.06% (0.019000000000005 0.02)50.94% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (1.697 1.7)34.46% (-1.698 -1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (1.766 1.77)71.17% (-1.768 -1.77)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 50.97%
    Luton Town 24.53%
    Draw 24.49%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.92% (-0.54 -0.54)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.443 -0.44)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.123 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 50.97%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.331 -0.33)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.222 0.22)
3-3 @ 1% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.268 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.161 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.19 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.157 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 24.53%

How you voted: Brighton vs Luton

Brighton & Hove Albion
83.8%
Draw
5.4%
Luton Town
10.8%
111
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
1-3
Brighton
Cornick (44')
Connolly (9'), Mwepu (35'), Tau (62')
Jul 23, 2016 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
2-1
Brighton
Marriott (1', 58')
Dunk (42')
Apr 12, 2008 3pm
Luton
1-2
Brighton
Parkin (49')
Hutchison (85')
Westlake (51'), Murray (59')
Mayo (45')
Nov 3, 2007 3pm
Brighton
3-1
Luton
Savage (40'), Forster (69', 85')
Edwards (79')
Spring (62'), Goodall (74'), Robinson (84')
Goodall (84')
Mar 25, 2006 3pm
Brighton
1-1
Luton
Noel-Williams (18')
Kazim (36')
McShane (61' og.)
Davis (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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