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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Luton Town

Brighton
4 - 1
Luton

March (36'), Pedro (71' pen.), Adingra (85'), Ferguson (90+5')
Estupinan (7'), Mitoma (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Morris (81' pen.)
Andersen (51'), Kabore (59')

The Match

Match Report

Solly March, Joao Pedro, Simon Adingra and Evan Ferguson score the goals as Brighton & Hove Albion record a 4-1 win over Luton Town in their Premier League opener at the Amex.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-1 Luton
Saturday, August 5 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLuton Town
50.98% (-1.138 -1.14) 24.49% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 24.53% (1.169 1.17)
Both teams to score 52.93% (1.378 1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.98% (1.196 1.2)49.02% (-1.196 -1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.9% (1.07 1.07)71.1% (-1.071 -1.07)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77% (0.01100000000001 0.01)19.23% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.06% (0.019000000000005 0.02)50.94% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (1.697 1.7)34.46% (-1.698 -1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (1.766 1.77)71.17% (-1.768 -1.77)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 50.97%
    Luton Town 24.53%
    Draw 24.49%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.92% (-0.54 -0.54)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.443 -0.44)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.123 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 50.97%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.331 -0.33)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.222 0.22)
3-3 @ 1% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.268 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.161 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.19 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.157 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 24.53%

How you voted: Brighton vs Luton

Brighton & Hove Albion
83.8%
Draw
5.4%
Luton Town
10.8%
111
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
1-3
Brighton
Cornick (44')
Connolly (9'), Mwepu (35'), Tau (62')
Jul 23, 2016 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
2-1
Brighton
Marriott (1', 58')
Dunk (42')
Apr 12, 2008 3pm
Luton
1-2
Brighton
Parkin (49')
Hutchison (85')
Westlake (51'), Murray (59')
Mayo (45')
Nov 3, 2007 3pm
Brighton
3-1
Luton
Savage (40'), Forster (69', 85')
Edwards (79')
Spring (62'), Goodall (74'), Robinson (84')
Goodall (84')
Mar 25, 2006 3pm
Brighton
1-1
Luton
Noel-Williams (18')
Kazim (36')
McShane (61' og.)
Davis (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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