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EFL Cup
Swansea logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Swansea
2 - 3
Bournemouth

Grimes (9' pen.), Paterson (79')
Ginnelly (24'), Abdulai (52'), Naughton (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brooks (55'), Traore (68'), Christie (90+1')
Brooks (21'), Senesi (39'), Solanke (86'), Kerkez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Swansea City and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Swansea
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-2 Spurs
Saturday, August 26 at 12.30pm in Premier League

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Bournemouth

 Bournemouth have a stronger squad than Swansea, and we are expecting the Premier League outfit to book their spot in the third round of the competition. The Cherries have enjoyed their recent matches against Swansea, and we are backing that to continue in Tuesday's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBournemouth
56.05% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 22.12% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 21.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.41% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.49% (0.017000000000003 0.02)41.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.91% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01)14.67% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.17% (0.015999999999998 0.02)42.83% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.73% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 56.05%
    Bournemouth 21.83%
    Draw 22.12%
Swansea CityDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 56.05%
1-1 @ 10.29%
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 21.83%

How you voted: Swansea vs Bournemouth

Swansea City
21.0%
Draw
15.0%
Bournemouth
64.0%
100
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Swansea
3-3
Bournemouth
Piroe (6', 12'), Christie (58')
Christie (45+4'), Smith (53')
Moore (72', 90'), Solanke (81' pen.)
Lowe (30'), Anthony (56'), Phillips (67'), Billing (75'), Lerma (84'), Solanke (90+6')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Bournemouth
4-0
Swansea
Solanke (25', 49'), Anthony (64', 90+3')
Billing (29'), Solanke (40')

Downes (30'), Bennett (39'), Ntcham (53')
> Preview
Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Bournemouth
3-0
Swansea
Billing (9'), Latibeaudiere (45+1' og.), Danjuma (87')
Rico (58')
> Match Report
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0-0
Bournemouth
Smith (10')
Solanke (30'), Rico (57'), Billing (73')
> Match Report
May 5, 2018 3pm
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1-0
Swansea
Fraser (37')
King (51')

Olsson (36'), van der Hoorn (58'), Mawson (69'), King (82')
> Match Report
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