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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 38%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Coventry City |
36.55% ( 0.14) | 25.45% ( -0.04) | 38% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 56.16% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.28% ( 0.18) | 47.72% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.09% ( 0.16) | 69.91% ( -0.16) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.54% ( 0.16) | 25.46% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.71% ( 0.22) | 60.29% ( -0.22) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.34% ( 0.03) | 24.66% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.81% ( 0.04) | 59.19% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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