Championship

Championship | Gameweek 4

Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Deepdale

Preston
2 - 1
Swansea

Hughes (67'), Holmes (79')
Ledson (11'), Browne (48')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ashby (33')
N (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Preston
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Preston North End 1-2 Swansea City

By all accounts, Preston have to be favourites for this contest, particularly when Piroe could be on the move. Nevertheless, we feel that Swansea may get off the mark in the wins column this weekend, albeit in a closely-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Swansea City
32.43% ( 0.2)	26.01% ( -0.04)	41.56% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 53.44% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.14% (

0.21)

50.86% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.26% (

0.19)

72.74% (

-0.19)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.52% (

0.23)

29.48% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.51% (

0.29)

65.49% (

-0.29)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.77% (

0.01)

24.22% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.43% (

0.02)

58.57% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Preston North End 32.43%

Swansea City 41.55%

Draw 26.01%

Preston North End	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.43%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 41.55%