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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Birmingham logo

Swansea
1 - 1
Birmingham

Yates (76')
Paterson (2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dembele (45')
T (27'), Sunjic (87'), Miyoshi (90+4'), Bielik (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 0-4 Swansea
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Peterborough 3-2 Birmingham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Birmingham City

Swansea look like a force to be reckoned with this term after adding the goals of Yates to their attack - could 2023-24 finally be the campaign that the Swans earn promotion? Birmingham's route to the Premier League is unlikely to be complete by May, and supporters may have to be a little patient before seeing significant improvements on the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
48.05% (0.416 0.42) 25.09% (0.154 0.15) 26.85% (-0.572 -0.57)
Both teams to score 53.19% (-0.948 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (-1.032 -1.03)49.7% (1.03 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28% (-0.93 -0.93)71.72% (0.928 0.93)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)20.71% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (-0.377 -0.38)53.31% (0.376 0.38)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (-0.992 -0.99)32.91% (0.99 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (-1.118 -1.12)69.48% (1.115 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 48.05%
    Birmingham City 26.85%
    Draw 25.09%
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.229 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 48.05%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.281 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.113 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.85%

How you voted: Swansea vs Birmingham

Swansea City
76.3%
Draw
7.9%
Birmingham City
15.8%
38
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swansea
3-4
Birmingham
Piroe (23', 58'), Cullen (29')
Hogan (14' pen.), Chong (55'), Jutkiewicz (90'), Trusty (90+7')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Birmingham
2-2
Swansea
Hogan (12'), Deeney (89')
Ntcham (30'), Grimes (45+2')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
2-1
Swansea
Deeney (47'), McGree (82')
Gardner (53'), McGree (90+3')
Obafemi (77')
Bennett (52')
Apr 2, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 39
Birmingham
1-0
Swansea
Hogan (90+1' pen.)
Seddon (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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