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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Birmingham logo

Swansea
1 - 1
Birmingham

Yates (76')
Paterson (2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dembele (45')
T (27'), Sunjic (87'), Miyoshi (90+4'), Bielik (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 0-4 Swansea
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Peterborough 3-2 Birmingham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Birmingham City

Swansea look like a force to be reckoned with this term after adding the goals of Yates to their attack - could 2023-24 finally be the campaign that the Swans earn promotion? Birmingham's route to the Premier League is unlikely to be complete by May, and supporters may have to be a little patient before seeing significant improvements on the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
48.05% (0.416 0.42) 25.09% (0.154 0.15) 26.85% (-0.572 -0.57)
Both teams to score 53.19% (-0.948 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (-1.032 -1.03)49.7% (1.03 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28% (-0.93 -0.93)71.72% (0.928 0.93)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)20.71% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (-0.377 -0.38)53.31% (0.376 0.38)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (-0.992 -0.99)32.91% (0.99 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (-1.118 -1.12)69.48% (1.115 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 48.05%
    Birmingham City 26.85%
    Draw 25.09%
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.229 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 48.05%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.281 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.113 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.85%

How you voted: Swansea vs Birmingham

Swansea City
76.3%
Draw
7.9%
Birmingham City
15.8%
38
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swansea
3-4
Birmingham
Piroe (23', 58'), Cullen (29')
Hogan (14' pen.), Chong (55'), Jutkiewicz (90'), Trusty (90+7')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Birmingham
2-2
Swansea
Hogan (12'), Deeney (89')
Ntcham (30'), Grimes (45+2')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
2-1
Swansea
Deeney (47'), McGree (82')
Gardner (53'), McGree (90+3')
Obafemi (77')
Bennett (52')
Apr 2, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 39
Birmingham
1-0
Swansea
Hogan (90+1' pen.)
Seddon (45+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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