MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 06:30:17| >> :600:804835:804835:
Barrow
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium

Barrow
3 - 0
Aston Villa U21s

Telford (2'), Vassell (67'), Dallas (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pavey (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Barrow and Aston Villa Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leicester U21s 3-1 Aston Villa U21s
Friday, November 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Barrow 1-2 Aston Villa Under-21s

 While Barrow will boast more first-team nous and experience, their motivation will be relatively low given the circumstances. Therefore, a talented Aston Villa Under-21s team can complete Group D unbeaten by taking maximum points back to Birmingham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 21.68% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawAston Villa Under-21s
57.36% (-0.871 -0.87) 20.96% (0.323 0.32) 21.68% (0.544 0.54)
Both teams to score 61.35% (-0.339 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.77% (-0.815 -0.82)36.23% (0.811 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.65% (-0.897 -0.9)58.35% (0.894 0.89)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.47% (-0.508 -0.51)12.53% (0.503 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.45% (-1.062 -1.06)38.55% (1.058 1.06)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (0.016000000000005 0.02)29.87% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (0.018999999999998 0.02)65.96% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 57.36%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 21.68%
    Draw 20.96%
BarrowDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.77% (0.161 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.75% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 4.08% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-2 @ 2.12% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.086 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 57.36%
1-1 @ 9.39% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.74% (0.148 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.96%
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.123 0.12)
0-1 @ 4.52% (0.182 0.18)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.111 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 21.68%

How you voted: Barrow vs Aston Villa U21s

Barrow
26.7%
Draw
13.3%
Aston Villa Under-21s
60.0%
45
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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