MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 02:33:54| >> :600:531452:531452:
Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 1
Aston Villa U21s

Adeboyejo (79')
Johnston (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mulley (33')
Zych (40'), Barnes (49'), Amundsen-Day (77'), Zych (95')
Aston Villa U21s win 4-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Aston Villa Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 2-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 2-3 Newcastle U21s
Saturday, October 5 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Aston Villa Under-21s

The points could be shared in Bolton, as the home side may be fatigued from negotiating a frantic fixture list since midway through September, allowing Villa's young guns to secure a draw. The visitors may have leaked lots of goals this season, but they will be aided by a special guest star - and they pose a significant threat up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.89%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawAston Villa Under-21s
69.69% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 15.63% (0.017999999999999 0.02) 14.68% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
Both teams to score 68.1% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)21.99% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.11% (-0.163 -0.16)40.88% (0.166 0.17)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.18% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)5.82% (0.0299 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.62% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)22.37% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)27.68% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (-0.127 -0.13)63.24% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 69.69%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 14.68%
    Draw 15.63%
Bolton WanderersDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.93% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 5.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.58% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 3.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.5%
5-2 @ 2.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
6-2 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 69.69%
1-1 @ 5.89% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.61% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 15.63%
1-2 @ 3.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.07% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 14.68%

How you voted: Bolton vs Aston Villa U21s

Bolton Wanderers
67.6%
Draw
23.5%
Aston Villa Under-21s
8.8%
34
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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