EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion4 - 2Leicester U21s
FT(HT: 4-2)
Maswanhise (38'), Fitzhugh (39')
Hughes (69'), Wormleighton (90+1')
Hughes (69'), Wormleighton (90+1')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Burton Albion and Leicester City Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cambridge 4-3 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
22 | Forest Green Rovers | 5 | -8 | 4 |
23 | Morecambe | 6 | -8 | 3 |
24 | Burton Albion | 6 | -11 | 1 |
Last Game: Blackburn U21s 0-4 Leicester U21s
Saturday, August 27 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Saturday, August 27 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
47.03% ( -4.69) | 25.09% ( 0.62) | 27.88% ( 4.07) |
Both teams to score 54% ( 1.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.98% ( 0.54) | 49.02% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.9% ( 0.49) | 71.1% ( -0.49) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.13% ( -1.73) | 20.87% ( 1.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.42% ( -2.78) | 53.57% ( 2.78) |
Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.25% ( 3.64) | 31.75% ( -3.64) |