EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion4 - 2Leicester U21s
FT(HT: 4-2)
Maswanhise (38'), Fitzhugh (39')
Hughes (69'), Wormleighton (90+1')
Hughes (69'), Wormleighton (90+1')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Burton Albion and Leicester City Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cambridge 4-3 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Forest Green Rovers | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 6 | -8 | 3 |
| 24 | Burton Albion | 6 | -11 | 1 |
Last Game: Blackburn U21s 0-4 Leicester U21s
Saturday, August 27 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Saturday, August 27 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
47.03% ( -4.69) | 25.09% ( 0.62) | 27.88% ( 4.07) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( 1.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.98% ( 0.54) | 49.02% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.9% ( 0.49) | 71.1% ( -0.49) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( -1.73) | 20.87% ( 1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.42% ( -2.78) | 53.57% ( 2.78) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.25% ( 3.64) | 31.75% ( -3.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.82% ( 3.97) | 68.17% ( -3.97) |
| Score Analysis |
Burton Albion 47.03%
Leicester City Under-21s 27.88%
Draw 25.09%
| Burton Albion | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.81) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 8.13% ( -1.12)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.43)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.85)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.28)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.44)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 47.03% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.36)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.79)0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.71)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.52)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.32)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.4)Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.88% |
Form Guide
