MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 16:30:46| >> :600:1100065:1100065:
Exeter City
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
St James Park
Forest Green Rovers

Exeter
3 - 2
Forest Green

Ajose (45+1'), Jay (57'), Key (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stevens (5', 51')
Wagstaff (41'), Evans (71')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Exeter City and Forest Green Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawForest Green Rovers
50.03%24.82%25.14%
Both teams to score 52.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15%49.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15%71.84%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06%19.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91%52.08%
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.61%34.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91%71.09%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 50.03%
    Forest Green Rovers 25.14%
    Draw 24.82%
Exeter CityDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 8.91%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 2.06%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.03%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.85%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.32%
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 3.91%
1-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.14%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 25
Forest Green
0-1
Exeter

Shephard (37'), Mills (44'), Kitching (71')
Atangana (5')
Williams (71'), Collins (81')
Atangana (46')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 13
Exeter
1-0
Forest Green
Bowman (11')
Martin (27'), Martin (83'), Williams (92')

Adams (27'), Godwin-Malife (60'), Bernard (95')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
Forest Green
0-0
Exeter
Gunning (39')
Martin (39'), Collins (56'), Woodman (61'), Sweeney (67')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Exeter
1-2
Forest Green
Martin (90')
Tillson (26')
Brown (50'), Shephard (72')
Campbell (31'), James (46'), Archibald (90')
Jan 31, 2018 7.45pm
Exeter
2-0
Forest Green
Stockley (51'), Sweeney (57' pen.)
Holmes (81')

Gunning (67'), Collins (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool17133140172342
2Arsenal18106235161936
3Chelsea18105338211735
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1810442419534
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle188553021929
6Bournemouth188552721629
7Manchester CityMan City188463026428
8Fulham187742623328
9Aston Villa188462629-328
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton186842726126
11Brentford187383232024
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1872939261323
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham186572330-723
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd186482124-322
15Everton173861522-717
16Crystal Palace183871826-817
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1843112940-1115
18Leicester CityLeicester1835102240-1814
19Ipswich TownIpswich1826101633-1712
20Southampton1813141137-266


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