MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 16:56:03| >> :600:1266542:1266542:
Portsmouth
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park

Portsmouth
5 - 0
Aston Villa U21s

Curtis (2'), Jacobs (7'), Koroma (53', 63'), Hackett-Fairchild (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)

O'Reilly (48'), Firth (57'), Smith (90+2')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Portsmouth and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 2-6 WBA U21s
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 68.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 14.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 3-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawAston Villa Under-21s
68.33% (-0.745 -0.75) 17.52% (0.147 0.15) 14.15% (0.599 0.6)
Both teams to score 58.32% (1.215 1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.93% (0.73700000000001 0.74)33.06% (-0.738 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.2% (0.845 0.84)54.79% (-0.844 -0.84)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.16% (0.024999999999991 0.02)8.83% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.73% (0.063999999999993 0.06)30.26% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.96% (1.314 1.31)36.03% (-1.314 -1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.19% (1.319 1.32)72.81% (-1.319 -1.32)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 68.33%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 14.15%
    Draw 17.52%
PortsmouthDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.37% (-0.347 -0.35)
3-1 @ 7.74% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 7.72% (-0.295 -0.29)
3-0 @ 7.58% (-0.272 -0.27)
4-1 @ 4.7% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.6% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.95% (0.141 0.14)
4-2 @ 2.4% (0.088 0.09)
5-1 @ 2.28% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.074 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.16% (0.044 0.04)
6-1 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
6-0 @ 0.9% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 68.33%
1-1 @ 7.88% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.169 0.17)
0-0 @ 3.18% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.52%
1-2 @ 4.02% (0.134 0.13)
0-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.66% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 14.15%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Bournemouth622289-18
12Brentford6213810-27
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton6015312-91
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!