Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.