In an intriguing cup clash, we expect a close contest between two sides that will likely result in the tie being settled by fine margins. Stevenage will be the ones to capitalise on this occasion and narrowly progress to the third round of the EFL Trophy. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
45.19% ( 0.02)	25.64% ( -0)	29.17% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.1% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.4% (

0.02)

50.6% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.49% (

0.02)

72.52% (

-0.02)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.64% (

0.02)

22.36% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.15% (

0.03)

55.85% (

-0.02)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.39% (

0.01)

31.61% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99% (

0.01)

68.02% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 45.18%

Arsenal Under-21s 29.17%

Draw 25.64%

Stevenage	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.18%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.17%