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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
May 26, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Commerzbank Arena
Freiburg logo

Frankfurt
3 - 3
Freiburg

Silva (35'), Kamada (79'), Chandler (82')
Rode (30'), Ilsanker (67'), Hasebe (90+3'), Gacinovic (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grifo (28'), Petersen (67'), Holer (69')
Waldschmidt (20')

Preview: Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Freiburg - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Freiburg, including team news and predicted lineups.

Eintracht Frankfurt will be looking to end a run of five straight Bundesliga defeats when they welcome European-chasing Freiburg to Commerzbank-Arena on Tuesday night.

Adi Hutter's side have dropped dangerously close to the relegation zone amid a poor run of form, but Freiburg are currently seventh in the table, just two points off sixth-placed Wolfsburg.


Match preview

Adi Hutter in charge of Eintracht Frankfurt on May 18, 2019© Reuters

Frankfurt are currently 14th in the table, just four points ahead of 16th-placed Fortuna Dusseldorf, who threw away a two-goal lead to draw 2-2 with Koln in Sunday's late kickoff.

Koln actually did Frankfurt a big favour by picking up a point, but there is no question that Hutter's team will be in trouble if they continue to pick up poor results in the coming weeks.

Die Adler have lost each of their last five in the Bundesliga, including defeats to Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayern Munich since returning to action following a two-month break.

Frankfurt conceded five times against Bayern on Saturday afternoon, but they did score five in their last victory in Germany's top flight, which came at home to Augsburg on February 7.

The Eagles have finished eighth and seventh in their last two Bundesliga seasons but are seemingly facing a battle to secure their top-flight status for the 2020-21 campaign.

Freiburg attacker Luca Waldschmidt pictured in October 2019© Reuters

Freiburg, meanwhile, currently occupy seventh spot in the table, having picked up 37 points from their 27 matches during the 2019-20 campaign.

Christian Streich's team are only two points off Wolfsburg in sixth in a battle for a Europa League spot, but they have won just one of their last six in the Bundesliga.

Freiburg beat Union Berlin in their final match before play was postponed at the start of March, while they picked up an impressive point away to high-flying RB Leipzig last weekend.

Streich's side could not build on the draw at the Red Bull Arena, though, as they suffered a disappointing 1-0 defeat to a struggling Werder Bremen side at the weekend.

Frankfurt Bundesliga form: WLLLLL
Frankfurt form (all competitions): DWLLLL

Freiburg competition form: DLLWDL


Team News

 RB Leipzig's Christopher Nkunku in action with Eintracht Frankfurt's Evan Ndicka in February 2020© Reuters

Frankfurt will again be without the services of Dominik Kohr through suspension, while Goncalo Paciencia and Marco Russ are on the sidelines with muscular and heel injuries respectively.

Bas Dost will be pushing for a spot in the side, although it seems unlikely that Andre Silva will be removed from his position at the tip of the attack.

Evan N'Dicka was replaced at the interval of the 5-2 loss to Bayern and could now lose his spot in the XI with Timothy Chandler potentially being given the nod at right-back.

Freiburg are again expected to be without the services of Yoric Ravet and Lukas Kubler through muscular and knee injuries respectively, but the visitors otherwise have no fresh injury concerns.

Streich could shuffle his pack from the side that started against Werder Bremen, with Amir Abrashi among those hoping to earn a spot in the starting XI.

There are unlikely to be alterations in the final third, though, with Nils Petersen, who has scored eight league goals this season, again expected to be joined by Lucas Holer as part of a front two.

Frankfurt possible starting lineup:
Trapp; Toure, Hinterlegter, Ilsanker, Chandler; Rode, Fernandes; Da Costa, Gacinovic, Kostic; Silva

Freiburg possible starting lineup:
Schwolow; Schmid, Koch, Gulde, Gunter; Grifo, Hofler, Abrashi, Sallai; Petersen, Holer


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Frankfurt 1-2 Freiburg

Frankfurt are certainly due a result, but the fact that Freiburg lost at the weekend might count against the home side. Die Adler are conceding goals at a worrying rate at the moment, and we are finding it difficult to back them on Tuesday night when taking everything into consideration.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 24.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.


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Adi Hutter in charge of Eintracht Frankfurt on May 18, 2019
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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