Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalesund win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aalesund win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
